
- Flooding Downpours/Tstorms Tues/Wed
- Thursday thru Sunday Spendid!
- Rest of July into Early Aug Temp Forecast
- Quake Update
- Tropical Storm Bertha Track
Good evening (or morning for most who will be waking up to read this) atmospheric audience! Jumping on for an update as the tri-state area and parts of the Northeast will have to contend with another Flood Watch today. I must say after the area got hit on Saturday (see a few tweets I sent out at the end this post), Sunday was a stunner followed by a magnificent Monday. Early fall-like days with low humidity, blue skies and a refreshing breeze are rare in mid-July! I’ll be covering timing and totals on what to expect for Tuesday, and a brief tropical and seismic update. Ok, as always let’s break down my 2 coverage areas starting with the tri-state area.
Tri-State Area
The humidity is back folks. Moist and humid air mass from the southwest pushes dew points into the mid 70s this morning into the afternoon. While cloud cover May and I emphasize May, put a cap on the severity of storms, there’s enough moisture and instability for some of the cells to have high rain rates leading to flash flooding, along with strong wind gusts, along boomers and bolts.

Scattered thunderstorms could begin in Northern New Jersey into lower Hudson Valley this morning into the early afternoon, but they become more widespread later into the evening hours. While not widespread, if caught under some of these heavy bands, they can produce 2″ to 4″ perhaps higher and isolated spots.


For Wednesday, expect more isolated t-storms throughout the day. However, I’m not always about bad news or extreme weather! At the moment, looks like we have ourselves a stretch of tremendous conditions Thursday and right into the weekend, with relatively low humidity, mostly sunny skies, and temps in the low 80s! No rain in the forecast until early next week. Far from a lock, but I’m tracking a potential Nor’easter later next week but too early to tell on details just yet.
New England

After some scattered showers in Central and Northern New Hampshire, downpours and thunderstorms become more widespread in the late afternoon, and especially into the evening hours. On Wednesday, after off-and-on scattered showers, a strong cold front moves through during the afternoon. This will push through a fast-moving line producing potentially gusty downpours late in the afternoon.

But the good news similar to the tri-state area is the set up of the next four days of gorgeous conditions. Temps will be in the upper 70s to low 80s under partly sunny skies low humidity!
Outlook Over the Next 2 Weeks
No change from my forecast on the Saturday post. The next 2 weeks into early August are still trending below normal temperature-wise and above normal precipitation-wise. See the day 1 through 7 and 8 through 14 below. Sniffing out the potential of a Nor’easter later next week, but too soon to give any details. There will be a deep trough along the East Coast, so we’ll see what transpires.



For the SE US, from GA to NC a deluge of liquid is headed your way from Thursday into the weekend.
The latest European is printing up to 5″ to 10″. Potential for significant flooding is on the table.

Speaking up liquid, Tropical Storm Bertha just formed in the Gulf of America. Fortunately, there’s no threat to the East Coast. Current guidance is a coastal hugger with a westerly jog towards Texas.


QuakeReMarks Update to Saturday Forecast
As a follow-up to my Saturday update, my call for up to a 6.0 by the Canadian/US border hit with magnitude 5.6 quake just off the coast on Monday! It’s the largest quake since 9/15/24 to hit this area. Please refer back to my Saturday post for more details on what I see coming. In short, seismic activity is increasing.

That’s it for now. Once we get through today and Wednesday, we have a nice string of days to enjoy. I’ll be back soon for more details on next weeks weather, and will jump on if there’s more quake activity. Off to bed, as I must get some zzzz’s because weather never sleeps!
Notes aside, here’s a few tweets I sent out on Saturday of major flooding across the Tri-State.