- Wet Week Continues
- Weekend Outlook, Mother’s Day a Winner!
- QuakeReMarks Update
Good morning atmospheric audience!Who is absolutely done with this non-stop nasty weather we’ve been experiencing so far this May? Not too merry so far! About the only positive on all this plenteous precipitation is a plug on pollen! My hint of a cool and wet May I guess had merit, so far. There’s been lot of talk on social media about what’s called an Omega Block. Some headlines call it rare, not true. The Greek symbol which signifies in weather terms, a stationary weather pattern with low pressures along the coasts, and a high-pressure system in the center of the country. Also known as a closed-off low, check out the water vapor loop below showing a stream and steady fire hose of moisture along on the East Coast.
WeatherRemarks headquarters already received close to 3.4″ in the 1st 5 days of May (month average is 3.6″).
In this post, I’m going to cover when we can expect this pattern to break, the rest of the week and outlook on the rest of the month. As well as an update below the surface quake wise. But first, let’s break down how much more rain we can expect, and when it ends starting with the tri-state area below.
Tri-State Area (Wash, Rinse & Repeat)
First the bad news. This wet pattern is basically locked in. However, with the exception of locally heavy flooding downpours across of LI, CT, upper Hudson Valley and NENJ today (rumbles of thunder too), the heaviest appears to be over. But expect off and on a miserable mix of misty conditions with heavy downpours for the rest of the week. Friday into Saturday morning, look for a wet rinse and repeat of Tuesday with similar downpours.
Temps will be in the low 70s (cooler along the coast). For the weekend it’ll be cooler (60s) but finally drier later Saturday, as the sun finally pops out for a magnificent Mother’s Day!
New England
Similar to our friends down south, another miserable day today. Off and on showers with heaviest coming mid to late afternoon, and on into the evening hours. A rumble or 2 is possible with temps in the low 60s inland, 50s along the coast. Wednesday we get a little bit of a break but can’t rule out showers and an isolated tstorm in the afternoon. Thursday is the winner of the week, with mostly sunny skies and temps in the upper 60s to low 70s.
Enjoy, because Friday into Saturday (morning at least) will be a dreary, damp, and downright raw New England day. We have a shot of possibly salvaging Saturday afternoon / evening but Mother’s Day should be fantastic! On tap, a breezy bluebird day, with low humidity and temps in the mid 60s!
Northeast May Temps / Topic of Tropics
While temps finally rise next week to at to above normal, for rest of May and into early June, continue to look for cooler and wetter conditions. July and August are a different story and for a different post. Btw, it’s never too early to talk about my favorite topic, the tropics.
While there’s been a significant drop off in sea surface temps in the main development region (see above), an early start (June?) may be in the cards close to our shore lines for rapidly developing storms. New England, stay awake this season. The Hurricane drought may be on its way out this season. Details for another post. Here’s the names for the 2025 Atlantic Season:
QuakeReMarks Update
I wanted to follow up from my initial March 15th introduction to earthquake forecasts here (recall I’ve been sending out my magnitude missives to a short list of folks for a couple of years now). Another hit from my list, the Caribbean near Puerto Rico took place Sunday with a 5.6 quake, the largest near PR in over a year. Activity will continue to pick up around the world. Specifically, I’m looking for a large quake to hit just north of New Zealand, along with Taiwan in the coming weeks.
Plus to repeat, the Japan mega quake I keep discussing over the past 2 years is very much on the table. There’s a possibility it happens in the next year or sooner. There’s significant pressure building along the fault lines and plates have been jammed creating a lengthy period of no large quakes. If this in fact transpires it could be bigger than the 9.1 quake in 2011. This will have far reaching economic consequences, shut down supply chains, global trade, and possibly create a significant tsunami. This will lead to widespread destruction to western parts of Hawaii and low lying areas of California (especially LA). Not to mention Tokyo. It’ll be the largest quake in modern times but certainly not in history. It could also lead to triggering multiple faults like San Andreas Fault and the Cascadia Subduction Zone along the Pacific Northwest, which stretches from Vancouver to Northern California.
Ok, I’ll stop for now and honestly hope I’m wrong. Not trying to be spread fear at all, and of course the “stick to weather, and stay in the lane” comes up. Just sharing my thoughts, and I’ve done a fair amount of research on earthquakes. More discussions for another post.
Anyway, that’s it for now. I’ll be back with updates and forecasts shortly. Take heart that all this rain is washing away all the pollen. Just a note, every storm runs out of rain. This pattern will get tired and break. But remember, weather never sleeps!