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Gutter Ball for Northeast Blizzard, but a Strike for Virginia Beach; Brief Warmup, But In Like Lion Lurking for Early March!

Posted on February 20, 2025

Good morning atmospheric audience! Well, looks like it was a gutter ball for the northeast blizzard, this time. As you can see above, the storm was close yet no cigar as it pushed south of the Northeast. In fact, Norfolk, Virginia received its largest snowstorm in 15 years with over 10″!

So for the moment we live in well below normal temperatures with petrified snow on sides of roads, ice filled driveways, and dangerous looking icicles dangling from rooftops in New England. What is normal? Here’s my almanac with today’s normal high/low and record high/low on this date for a town near you. Probably won’t see the grass until mid to late March. 

Ok, what’s next. Specifically for the tristate area look for some festive flakes this afternoon beginning between 3-6pm. From New Brunswick to NYC on up to New Paltz, and east to Northampton to Nantucket, a dusting up to an inch or 2 is possible. After that, for the Northeast in general expect a fairly tranquil 5 day period of a much needed “warming” trend (see a city near you at the end of post with 7 day temperature trends). 

I don’t see anything significant over the next 7 days in terms of storms. There may be a clipper that goes through New England on Tuesday bring a couple of inches and rain further south into the tri-state area. A front may be moving through towards the end of next week to end February. Details coming on both. But get ready, the proverbial “in like a Lion out like a Lamb” scenario for the month of March is setting up quite nicely. An early glimpse into the first week of March has potential for record cold temperatures dropping into the Northeast (and the entire East Coast to be honest).

Forecasted Temp Anomaly for 1st week of March!

In the month of transition where you have shorting wavelengths and boundaries of extreme temperatures, lends itself for blockbuster storms as I bring up regularly each March (not because it’s my birthday, or March Madness or model mayhem). Some of the biggest storms in the northeast tend to fall this month. Yes, the most talked about not-event blizzard in a while for the northeast didn’t happen (and it was never a lock to be honest). Don’t get complacent with this upcoming “warm-up” and say winter is over. I promise you it’s not. Weather there’s 12 inches in your backyard is a different story but the probability of a very cold outbreak and a delayed spring, a snowstorm somewhere along the I-95 corridor or west of it into the Greens Whites and Loaf, is on the table. That’s it for now. Preseason baseball starts today but pre-spring is far far away. Remember Weather never sleeps!

Portland
Portsmouth, NH
Boston
NYC
Dutchess Cty Airport
Ithaca
Morristown, NJ
Monmouth, NJ
Raleigh / Durham
Greenville, SC
Reagan Natl Airport

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