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WeatherReMarks

Fast and Furious Nor’easter Whips Up Windy and Wet Evening Commute

Posted on October 16, 2019

Plan for Slow Ride Home This Evening for Tri-State Area

Afternoon! While most are aware by now of a powerful Nor’easter headed for the tri-state area later today on up to New England later tonight into Thursday morning, I just wanted to provide an brief update on timing and what to expect and glimpse on upcoming events in the coming days and weeks ahead. While my updates have been few and far between lately, no fear as I do plan to be more active as we get later into the Fall and approach the Holiday season into the dark and stormy Winter!

Nature’s stunning Autumn painting gets erased off the East Coast canvas as this a very fast moving storm brings heavy downpours and damaging winds. This short duration event (precip wise) can cause localized flooding in the most prone areas, where as gusty conditions will impact the area on the front and back end of the storm.

Rain arrives from the SW moving NE early this afternoon between 1-3pm and becoming more wide spread across the tri-state area as we approach rush hour unfortunately. Rain will become heavy at times along very windy conditions creating as my kids use to call, “leaf storms”, making local roads slick so drive carefully. Most will see the heaviest rainfall between 6 and 9pm, yet will dry out before midnight as the storm powers NE to New England overnight. Rainfall totals of 1-3″ with locally higher amounts are forecasted. Inland winds will gust from 20-40mph this afternoon (higher along coastal sections) but increasing later this evening into the overnight hours. Maximum gusts could reach 30-50mph inland creating plenty of kindling for your fireplaces and isolated down trees branches and trees. Power outages are possibility especially along coastal sections of NJ CT LI which could see 40-60mph and higher gusts. If you haven’t yet, bring in your garbage pales and any loose items when you get home tonight. Isolated rumbles of thunder and even a tornado or waterspout are possible.

Windy conditions will persist Thursday and diminish Friday as the storm pinwheels northeast and pounds New England. This storm will even provide SNOW in parts of the Adirondacks, the green mountains of VT and the foothills of WV. Temperatures steadily climb from the mid to upper 50s tomorrow and Friday to the mid and upper 60s this weekend with mostly sunny skies, a classic Fall weekend. Our next chance for rain will be Tuesday into Wednesday as a combination of a tropical system that forms in the Gulf this weekend (Nestor), moves up the coast and merges with a strong cold front. Details coming. Temperatures over the next week remain at to slightly above average (normal high/low: 66F/48F), but a wide spread chill to thrill all towards the end of October into Halloween is on the table. That’s it for now, safe travels tonight and Go Yankees (game 4 in the Bronx obviously cancelled tonight and rescheduled for tomorrow at 8pm). And remember, weather never sleeps!

12z NAM Forecasted Total Rainfall
12z GFS Forecasted Max Wind Gusts
06z GFS Ensemble 10-15 Day Temperature Anomaly

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