A Major and Long Duration, Our Lurking Nor’Easter Will Bring Plenty of Elation and Consternation!

Good morning! As mentioned yesterday I’d be back with an update after reviewing all the recent model runs which have continued to be consistent on a long duration event driving plowable snowfall across the Northeast starting later this afternoon. Travel will be shutdown up and down the I95 corridor, along with some power outages especially along coastal sections as wind gusts top 40-60mph. There are some adjustments from yesterday’s post. There will be a sharp gradient where snowfall totals drop to a slushy few inches in SENJ, Eastern LI, Cape Cod. For the tri-state area while snow begins to fall later this afternoon into the evening hours, it doesn’t intensify until Monday morning into the afternoon including strong wind gusts. Also, as I alluded to seeing the northern edge possibly creeping up, current runs reflect a further push into the ski country in NH.

Updated Snow Totals

Below are my updated snow totals (numbers in parentheses are my forecasts from yesterday). These are ranges, not specific backyard amounts. Use as a guide. Some areas will indeed underperform while others will get hammered if under those strong banding features.

DC: 4-8″

Philly: 8-14″

NYC: 10-16″ (8-14″)

W Long Island: 6-10″, E LI 3-8″ rain/mix the further east

Boston: 5-10″ (4-8″)

Portsmouth: 5-10″ (4-8″)

SENJ: slush to 5″, very sharp gradient (SE of route 70 a slushy accumulation)

CNJ: Between I95 and 78/202/287: 12-24″ w isolated higher amounts

NNJ, NW of 202/287, 8-14″ (isolated higher amounts in higher elavations and if under bands)

Lower Hudson Valley: 8-14″ (4-10″)

Hersey to Hazleton to Hawley, PA 14-24″, possible 30-40″ in isolated areas (12-18″)

West to Central CT/MA: 3-8″ (1-6″, donut region)

RI: 8-12″ (4-8″)

West of Boston from Worcester to Tauton: 10-18″ (8-14″)

Southern NH from Keene to Kingston: 8-14″ (4-8″). Further North towards Waterville Valley and Conway: 4-8″. Still high degree of uncertainty on northern edge but I continue to lean on track taking accumulating snow to ski country.

I promise you there will be plenty of areas that underperform and likewise some jackpots similar to the December storm. Bottom line, this is major Nor’easter that will blanket a wide swath of the Northeast, creating a couple of days of travel disruption, plane, train, bus, and school cancellations, some power outages, coastal flooding (astronomical high tides and east winds pounding shoreline), and plenty of sore backs. Refer back to yesterday’s post on details. I added more maps below on general timing. Feel free to share and pass along any storm pictures and I’ll to post them with credit on my Twitter FB or Instagram accounts (all weatherremarks). Again, I’ll be updating snow totals through out the storm along with any other changes, on my other social media accounts (all of which you can access here on my website if you don’t those use them).

That’s it for now. I’ll be back later this week to discuss what’s up next as I gave some subtle hints on yesterday’s post. Aside from a brief warm-up at the end of week containing some rain in the tri-state area (and snow showers in New England), there’s plenty of cold and rumors of storms on the horizon to bring elation or consternation. Either way, there’s plenty on the table as an active winter pattern is brewing and lurking on the preverbial atmospheric highway. Stay safe, warm, and check on your elderly neighbors. Time for a nap, because weather never sleeps!